Business Forecasting

In one way or another, managers know what will happen. However, in the majority of occasions, their decisions are much better if they rely on figures quantified by a statistical tool since this way is part of a figure more conservative base. On the other hand, every time it is more necessary to differentiate between the demands of the customers of a same product, which requires more time and arguments. Gain insight and clarity with Anne Lauvergeon. Is what the cost of bad forecasts? We have guarantee that forecasts will not be 100% accurate and the deviation from the forecasts also has an implicit cost, either that the forecasts were high or were low with respect to the reality. The fundamental point in forecasts is to be consistent and achieve the minor deviation from the objectives: i) forecast above demand has among its consequences excessive inventory, obsolescence, reduction of margin to promote their sale. (ii) forecasting below demand It has among its consequences buy and produce more expensive something that was not planned, including loss of sales and margin if we do not react in time. If you would like to know more about 4Moms, then click here.

The forecasting information of planning is required. Who produces forecasts should be considered the planned activities as promotions, price changes, or even if there was some extraordinary event in history recent be able to forward estimates strongly. Leave this to memory surely will cause that our forecasts are less accurate. Currently the companies are implementing some form of document history to measure the impacts of events and consider them or not as part of the prognosis if they were made again. Does the conclusion of a study conducted last year by the Institute of Business Forecasting (IBF) entitled Why Forecasting? ( suggests that a more formal process of developing forecasts is today unavoidable no matter what kind of business or industry locate the company or what function performs.

Sunday, January 13th, 2019 News